Machine Bet

A combination generated automatically from our selections, always at the best available price on every leg.

166 selections available to combine. With these selections the possible range is 2.28–5.06 odds and 18%–39% accuracy.

Combination 1 of 10New combination

AI recommendation

Combined odds3.00
Fair probability29.3%
Implied probability33.4%

Fair probability is the product of the margin-free probabilities of each leg. It assumes independence — legs from different matches.

Chance of a return · As a combination

  • 29.3%29.3% chance of getting at least 300 Kz for every 100 Kz staked
  • 70.7%70.7% chance of getting 0 Kz

A combination has two outcomes: every leg wins, or the whole stake is lost. There is no partial return — if one leg fails, the return is 0 Kz.

Partial returns only exist if you place each leg separately as its own bet instead of as a combination. That is also the form with less compounded margin.

As separate singles

  • 79.5%79.5% chance of getting at least 156 Kz, from 200 Kz staked (100 Kz on each match)
  • 20.5%20.5% chance of getting nothing back
Return by stake
StakeReturnChance
Every match wins348 Kz29.3%
One match wins: Fagiano Okayama192 Kz19.6%
One match wins: FC Lahti156 Kz30.6%
No match wins0 Kz20.5%

Staking separately costs 6.4% in margin against 12.4% for the combination — the same selections, 1.9 times cheaper, because the margin stops compounding.

This is the only form in which "at least one wins" means money: each bet is paid on its own, instead of the whole amount depending on every leg.

Show return by stake
StakeReturnChance
100 Kz300 Kz29.3%
500 Kz1,498 Kz29.3%
1,000 Kz2,995 Kz29.3%
5,000 Kz14,976 Kz29.3%

The chance is the same at every stake: a combination wins or loses as a whole, so there is no partial return. To return anything above zero, up to 14,976 Kz, the combination must win — which it does 29.3% of the time.

Alternatives are ordered by potential return, highest first. A bigger return means a smaller chance and a bigger margin for the book.

A combination’s accuracy is the product of its legs’ probabilities — the chance the whole combination wins. It is the only calibrated number we publish: we do not invent a per-pick hit rate.

Total odds and accuracy are near-inverses — accuracy is the same thing seen without the bookmaker margin. So they move together: raising the minimum accuracy lowers the odds. If the available matches cannot meet one of the limits, we say which one.

Every leg uses the best price across our books, which cuts the margin by about 1.1 percentage points per leg. A real saving, but it does not make the combination profitable.

We never use two legs from the same match.

We cap it at three legs deliberately. Bookmakers promote long accumulators because the margin multiplies; we do not.

Combinations are not part of the per-pick accuracy record: a combination settles as a single unit and would distort the sample. The per-pick record is on the Performance page.

See today’s predictions · See the record