Machine Bet
A combination generated automatically from our selections, always at the best available price on every leg.
166 selections available to combine. With these selections the possible range is 2.28–5.06 odds and 18%–39% accuracy.
Chance of a return · As a combination
- 18.5%18.5% chance of getting at least 484 Kz for every 100 Kz staked
- 81.5%81.5% chance of getting 0 Kz
A combination has two outcomes: every leg wins, or the whole stake is lost. There is no partial return — if one leg fails, the return is 0 Kz.
Partial returns only exist if you place each leg separately as its own bet instead of as a combination. That is also the form with less compounded margin.
As separate singles
- 67.6%67.6% chance of getting at least 216 Kz, from 200 Kz staked (100 Kz on each match)
- 32.4%32.4% chance of getting nothing back
Return by stake
| Stake | Return | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Every match wins | 440 Kz | 18.5% |
| One match wins: Kocaelispor | 224 Kz | 23.7% |
| One match wins: Vasteras SK | 216 Kz | 25.4% |
| No match wins | 0 Kz | 32.4% |
Staking separately costs 5.3% in margin against 10.3% for the combination — the same selections, 1.9 times cheaper, because the margin stops compounding.
This is the only form in which "at least one wins" means money: each bet is paid on its own, instead of the whole amount depending on every leg.
Show return by stake
| Stake | Return | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 100 Kz | 484 Kz | 18.5% |
| 500 Kz | 2,419 Kz | 18.5% |
| 1,000 Kz | 4,838 Kz | 18.5% |
| 5,000 Kz | 24,192 Kz | 18.5% |
The chance is the same at every stake: a combination wins or loses as a whole, so there is no partial return. To return anything above zero, up to 24,192 Kz, the combination must win — which it does 18.5% of the time.
What the book keeps
Combined margin 10.3% — of 100 Kz staked, about 89.7 Kz is expected back.
The expected return of a combination is the product of its legs, so it falls as legs are added. Two legs costing 5% each cost almost 10%, not 5%.
Fair probability is the product of the margin-free probabilities of each leg. It assumes independence — legs from different matches.
- Leg 1Vasteras SK vs Malmo FFAllsvenskanAway2.16at eBetFair probability 43.9%
- Leg 2Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FKSuper LigHome2.24at Premier BetFair probability 42.2%
Alternatives are ordered by potential return, highest first. A bigger return means a smaller chance and a bigger margin for the book.
A combination’s accuracy is the product of its legs’ probabilities — the chance the whole combination wins. It is the only calibrated number we publish: we do not invent a per-pick hit rate.
Total odds and accuracy are near-inverses — accuracy is the same thing seen without the bookmaker margin. So they move together: raising the minimum accuracy lowers the odds. If the available matches cannot meet one of the limits, we say which one.
Every leg uses the best price across our books, which cuts the margin by about 1.1 percentage points per leg. A real saving, but it does not make the combination profitable.
We never use two legs from the same match.
We cap it at three legs deliberately. Bookmakers promote long accumulators because the margin multiplies; we do not.
Combinations are not part of the per-pick accuracy record: a combination settles as a single unit and would distort the sample. The per-pick record is on the Performance page.